Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.058911 0.068595 0.079213 0.091694 0.105944 0.121680 0.140352
2025-02-09 0.041556 0.053594 0.068027 0.086518 0.109482 0.136961 0.172221
2025-02-16 0.031468 0.044462 0.061322 0.084602 0.115680 0.155474 0.209979
2025-02-23 0.024118 0.037047 0.055072 0.081684 0.119552 0.170990 0.245518
2025-03-02 0.019064 0.031620 0.050304 0.079606 0.123730 0.186857 0.282905
2025-03-09 0.015951 0.028358 0.047937 0.080331 0.131601 0.208337 0.330117
2025-03-16 0.012894 0.024525 0.043948 0.077771 0.133885 0.221498 0.366105
2025-03-23 0.011567 0.023330 0.043957 0.081486 0.146283 0.251117 0.429906
2025-03-30 0.009997 0.021373 0.042306 0.082056 0.153399 0.272843 0.483037
2025-04-06 0.008382 0.018999 0.039495 0.080097 0.155787 0.286805 0.524467
2025-04-13 0.007121 0.017072 0.037185 0.078659 0.158784 0.301864 0.568824
2025-04-20 0.006609 0.016626 0.037679 0.082586 0.171983 0.335823 0.648754
2025-04-27 0.006094 0.016103 0.037991 0.086302 0.185413 0.371825 0.736239
2025-05-04 0.005110 0.014289 0.035293 0.083489 0.185774 0.383827 0.781174
2025-05-11 0.004427 0.013059 0.033666 0.082696 0.190063 0.403583 0.842247
2025-05-18 0.003752 0.011692 0.031493 0.080368 0.190839 0.416508 0.891259
2025-05-25 0.003212 0.010562 0.029684 0.078585 0.192517 0.431276 0.944989
2025-06-01 0.002882 0.009949 0.029044 0.079439 0.200046 0.458547 1.025813
2025-06-08 0.002449 0.008920 0.027154 0.076973 0.199740 0.469376 1.073830
2025-06-15 0.002320 0.008813 0.027701 0.080689 0.214199 0.512886 1.193294
2025-06-22 0.002088 0.008309 0.027071 0.081273 0.221244 0.540823 1.281784
2025-06-29 0.001802 0.007549 0.025575 0.079340 0.221921 0.554658 1.340847
2025-07-06 0.001569 0.006916 0.024335 0.077919 0.223690 0.571060 1.406734